Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/17 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 16,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +30.8 | -1.6 | +0.3 | -29.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 48% | 21% | 21% | 10% | -0.5 | -14.3 | -1.3 | +16.0 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,000 | 49% | 15% | 21% | 15% | -2.3 | +5.4 | -0.2 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,700 | 46% | 17% | 22% | 15% | +0.6 | -6.6 | +6.7 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 48% | 12% | 25% | 15% | +1.9 | -1.4 | +3.8 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 16,000 | 49% | 13% | 26% | 13% | -8.2 | +43.1 | -24.1 | -10.8 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 39% | 42% | 11% | 8% | -0.4 | +6.1 | +0.6 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 37% | 47% | 11% | 5% | -5.9 | +10.9 | +0.1 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 26% | 63% | 9% | 3% | -1.5 | -1.4 | +3.4 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 63% | 10% | 3% | -18.9 | -18.2 | +46.0 | -9.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 36% | 50% | 1% | +16.0 | -5.5 | -7.4 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 28% | 32% | 40% | 1% | -19.9 | +37.0 | -14.8 | -2.3 |