Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/18 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+63.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Hinata Aiko tsumo 18,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | +1.1 | +6.5 | -3.4 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 30% | 24% | 21% | +1.8 | -5.2 | +4.4 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 25% | 26% | 21% | -17.2 | -6.3 | +29.3 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 15% | 20% | 49% | 16% | +2.3 | -5.3 | +1.1 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 16% | 51% | 18% | -9.7 | -8.7 | +27.6 | -9.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 7% | 78% | 8% | -8.8 | -7.9 | +25.5 | -8.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -2.8 | +0.7 | -1.9 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -8.9 | +28.0 | -2.9 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 3% | 95% | 0% | +5.6 | +0.2 | 0.0 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 3% | 96% | 0% | -5.4 | +3.3 | -1.2 | +3.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 4% | 96% | 1% | -7.9 | +34.5 | -16.7 | -9.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 31% | 69% | 0% | -1.2 | -14.5 | +17.1 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 6% | 94% | 0% | -8.8 | +2.8 | -12.3 | +18.3 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 9,600 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 12% | 88% | 1% | -2.1 | +19.9 | -30.1 | +12.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 61% | 38% | 2% | -0.5 | +10.0 | -21.0 | +11.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 86% | 9% | 5% | +5.7 | +6.1 | -6.7 | -5.1 |