Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/18 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+79.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -21.2 | -1.0 | +21.5 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 24% | 42% | 23% | +1.1 | -6.6 | -1.6 | +7.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 18% | 39% | 30% | -6.6 | +13.9 | -5.1 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,900 | 9% | 28% | 35% | 28% | -2.2 | -4.7 | -4.6 | +11.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 24% | 30% | 37% | -3.7 | -4.1 | -4.8 | +12.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 20% | 23% | 50% | -6.4 | -7.8 | -11.2 | +25.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 4% | 10% | 12% | 74% | +5.2 | -27.9 | +1.5 | +21.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 1% | 5% | 93% | -5.6 | -5.3 | +18.6 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 1% | 12% | 85% | -5.7 | +0.5 | -1.0 | +6.2 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 1% | 7% | 92% | +2.0 | -2.9 | -0.9 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 5% | 95% | +5.5 | -10.4 | -2.2 | +7.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.0 | -2.6 | +1.8 | -4.2 |