Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/18 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+79.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +29.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -24.6 | +1.0 | +20.7 | +2.8 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 11% | 24% | 40% | 25% | -1.6 | -5.5 | -0.4 | +7.5 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 19% | 40% | 31% | -3.0 | +11.5 | -6.2 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,900 | 10% | 27% | 34% | 29% | -2.5 | -2.4 | -5.5 | +10.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 25% | 28% | 38% | -2.5 | -4.1 | -2.0 | +8.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 20% | 27% | 46% | -8.0 | -9.2 | -12.0 | +29.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 3% | 10% | 11% | 76% | +6.0 | -27.2 | +1.3 | +19.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 1% | 5% | 92% | -6.8 | -4.5 | +18.0 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 1% | 11% | 87% | -5.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +5.8 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 1% | 7% | 92% | +3.3 | -3.3 | -1.2 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | +5.2 | -10.7 | -2.3 | +7.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.9 | -2.4 | +2.0 | -4.4 |