Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+84.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 18,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +42.5 | -1.3 | -1.5 | -39.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 18% | 19% | 6% | -12.8 | -4.4 | +22.4 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 44% | 17% | 35% | 5% | -1.6 | -20.8 | +24.5 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki | 37% | 4% | 56% | 3% | -4.7 | -14.8 | +15.1 | +4.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 24% | 1% | 72% | 3% | +0.8 | +5.4 | +0.3 | -6.4 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 1% | 73% | 2% | -1.6 | -0.3 | +6.5 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 1% | 81% | 0% | -10.8 | +14.5 | +1.7 | -5.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 3% | 89% | 1% | +4.8 | -4.6 | +0.3 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 9,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 8% | 0% | 92% | 0% | -1.9 | -13.9 | +13.7 | +2.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +0.1 | +15.0 | -0.7 | -14.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.3 | +2.3 | +2.3 | -3.3 |