Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+84.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +24.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 18,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +45.1 | -3.6 | -0.7 | -40.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 18% | 19% | 5% | -14.2 | -2.9 | +21.0 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 43% | 18% | 35% | 5% | -1.7 | -23.0 | +24.2 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 35% | 5% | 57% | 3% | -3.4 | -13.8 | +15.1 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 2% | 71% | 2% | +1.2 | +5.8 | -1.0 | -6.1 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 2% | 71% | 2% | -3.2 | -0.2 | +8.2 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 1% | 81% | 1% | -10.4 | +13.4 | +1.7 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 2% | 90% | 1% | +5.8 | -4.0 | 0.0 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 9,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 9% | 0% | 91% | 0% | -3.4 | -14.0 | +14.0 | +3.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +0.8 | +14.9 | -0.9 | -14.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.3 | +2.2 | +2.2 | -3.2 |