Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +35.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -6.8 | +0.9 | +0.3 | +5.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 26% | 25% | 28% | -3.7 | +18.2 | -8.4 | -6.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 38% | 20% | 24% | -5.4 | -13.4 | -5.1 | +23.9 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 26% | 17% | 44% | -11.3 | -11.2 | +32.7 | -10.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 19% | 37% | 33% | -3.2 | -2.6 | +4.1 | +1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 17% | 40% | 34% | +1.4 | -2.4 | 0.0 | +1.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 16% | 41% | 35% | +10.2 | -0.6 | -7.5 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 17% | 35% | 34% | -1.0 | -0.4 | +3.1 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 17% | 38% | 31% | -6.6 | +7.6 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Koshin Asakura | 9% | 21% | 38% | 32% | -1.9 | -15.0 | +1.7 | +15.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 9% | 37% | 48% | +5.3 | -6.9 | -0.5 | +2.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 7% | 34% | 51% | -8.9 | -3.6 | +35.5 | -23.0 |