Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -2.7 | -5.8 | +0.9 | +7.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 22% | 25% | 31% | -7.8 | +23.7 | -6.8 | -9.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 38% | 20% | 24% | -5.1 | -12.2 | -6.2 | +23.4 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 28% | 16% | 41% | -11.2 | -12.3 | +33.3 | -9.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 19% | 38% | 32% | -3.0 | -3.7 | +3.7 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 17% | 41% | 34% | -0.4 | +0.3 | +1.7 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 16% | 43% | 33% | +11.6 | -3.2 | -8.3 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 16% | 36% | 35% | -0.7 | -0.7 | +2.2 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 15% | 39% | 33% | -5.8 | +10.2 | -1.7 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Asakura Koshin | 10% | 22% | 38% | 31% | -4.0 | -15.0 | +0.6 | +18.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 6% | 10% | 34% | 51% | +7.1 | -8.6 | +2.3 | -0.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 8% | 7% | 36% | 49% | -8.9 | -3.7 | +34.3 | -21.8 |