Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 5 honba: Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +41.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +42.5 | -14.1 | -13.9 | -14.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,700 | 61% | 13% | 14% | 13% | -3.5 | +8.2 | -2.4 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 59% | 17% | 13% | 12% | +1.9 | -6.0 | -1.0 | +5.1 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 61% | 12% | 13% | 13% | +2.2 | -6.1 | -2.8 | +6.8 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 65% | 9% | 9% | 17% | -3.9 | -1.1 | -27.6 | +32.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 6% | 2% | 37% | -3.3 | +20.8 | -4.6 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 53% | 17% | 2% | 28% | -0.1 | +3.6 | -2.4 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 54% | 19% | 1% | 26% | +8.5 | -3.7 | +0.6 | -5.4 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 70% | 10% | 2% | 19% | +5.2 | +3.7 | +21.0 | -29.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 79% | 11% | 5% | 6% | -0.3 | -0.4 | +15.8 | -15.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 79% | 11% | 6% | 3% | -4.6 | +3.6 | +4.8 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 73% | 15% | 9% | 3% | -47.9 | -2.2 | +50.9 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 15% | 20% | 61% | 5% | -5.9 | +9.3 | -1.3 | -2.1 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 24% | 61% | 4% | -9.5 | +41.0 | -23.4 | -8.1 |