Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

10/22 Game 1

Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 5 honba: Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +43.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance	Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance	Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance	Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance	Sayaka Okada Expected pt change	Yudai Maehara Expected pt change	Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change	Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change
East 1	Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000	25%	25%	24%	26%	+42.7	-12.8	-14.2	-15.7
East 1, 1 honba	Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,700	59%	15%	14%	13%	-1.6	+4.6	-1.6	-1.5
East 2	Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000	60%	16%	13%	12%	+0.6	-3.8	-1.6	+4.9
East 3	Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara	61%	14%	12%	13%	+3.6	-5.5	-4.9	+6.8
East 4	Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo	67%	10%	8%	15%	-4.6	-1.6	-26.0	+32.2
East 4, 1 honba	Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000	54%	7%	2%	37%	-2.0	+18.0	-4.0	-11.9
South 1	Yudai Maehara ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata	57%	15%	1%	27%	+0.9	+5.3	-2.2	-4.0
South 2	Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata	59%	17%	2%	22%	+5.6	-3.4	-0.2	-2.0
South 3	Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata	69%	11%	1%	19%	+3.9	+4.6	+21.3	-29.9
South 3, 1 honba	Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata	77%	12%	5%	6%	+0.6	-0.9	+16.9	-16.7
South 3, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	78%	11%	7%	3%	-4.3	+4.2	+3.3	-3.2
South 3, 3 honba	Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada	72%	16%	9%	3%	-46.8	-3.0	+50.4	-0.6
South 3, 4 honba	Exhaustive draw	17%	20%	59%	4%	-5.8	+6.7	+1.0	-2.0
South 4, 5 honba	Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000	13%	21%	63%	4%	-10.6	+43.2	-24.5	-8.1

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)