Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/22 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +47.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,200 from Wakutsu Akira | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -11.2 | +2.5 | -3.8 | +12.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Wakutsu Akira | 18% | 24% | 22% | 36% | -12.4 | -2.5 | -0.9 | +15.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 21% | 19% | 49% | +3.4 | -4.0 | +2.1 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Wakutsu Akira | 12% | 19% | 22% | 47% | -15.5 | -1.3 | +21.2 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 17% | 35% | 41% | -2.7 | -3.4 | +9.5 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 1,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 6% | 14% | 45% | 35% | -2.5 | +6.6 | -8.0 | +4.0 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,900 | 5% | 17% | 37% | 41% | -1.9 | -3.0 | -4.5 | +9.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 16% | 30% | 50% | +18.2 | -5.9 | -1.8 | -10.5 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 11% | 14% | 33% | 42% | -4.6 | +0.5 | -16.2 | +20.2 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 13% | 16% | 68% | -4.9 | -12.8 | +16.4 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 4% | 23% | 71% | -4.0 | -1.2 | -4.8 | +10.0 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 90% | -9.6 | +2.6 | +47.8 | -40.9 |