Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/22 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +48.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,200 from Akira Wakutsu | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -12.3 | +2.3 | -0.4 | +10.4 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Akira Wakutsu | 18% | 26% | 24% | 32% | -10.4 | -3.0 | -4.9 | +18.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 21% | 19% | 49% | +2.2 | -1.4 | +2.3 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Akira Wakutsu | 13% | 20% | 21% | 46% | -16.3 | -3.0 | +20.7 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 17% | 34% | 43% | -1.3 | -3.6 | +9.3 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 6% | 15% | 42% | 37% | -1.3 | +5.9 | -5.0 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,900 | 5% | 18% | 38% | 39% | -2.5 | -3.8 | -6.3 | +12.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 14% | 30% | 51% | +17.6 | -4.8 | -1.8 | -11.0 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 10% | 16% | 32% | 42% | -5.4 | +0.3 | -15.1 | +20.1 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 12% | 16% | 68% | -3.9 | -13.6 | +16.2 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 3% | 23% | 72% | -3.7 | -0.9 | -5.1 | +9.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -10.4 | +3.1 | +48.2 | -40.9 |