Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/24 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -4.6 | +6.6 | +0.7 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 28% | 26% | 24% | -2.8 | +3.1 | -4.5 | +4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 19% | 31% | 23% | 27% | +0.2 | -4.0 | -21.7 | +25.5 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 25% | 10% | 47% | -1.9 | -3.3 | +7.6 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 23% | 15% | 46% | -3.1 | -0.9 | +5.5 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 23% | 17% | 44% | -15.6 | -18.2 | +53.1 | -19.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 11% | 58% | 22% | -4.0 | +14.1 | -6.9 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 7% | 18% | 54% | 22% | -15.4 | -1.5 | -2.8 | +19.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 3% | 15% | 46% | 36% | +0.4 | -0.4 | +23.6 | -23.6 |
| South 1 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 18,000 from Aiko Hinata | 2% | 11% | 76% | 12% | +40.1 | +1.8 | +1.4 | -43.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,200 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 9% | 10% | 78% | 2% | -9.1 | +0.1 | +8.5 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 7% | 90% | 2% | -11.1 | +28.2 | -10.8 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 25% | 73% | 1% | -7.3 | +44.3 | -29.3 | -7.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 0% | 84% | 16% | 0% | -8.0 | -2.8 | +8.1 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 80% | 20% | 0% | +13.1 | +4.8 | -5.3 | -12.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 91% | 9% | 0% | -1.4 | -2.8 | +3.5 | +0.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 87% | 13% | 0% | +1.1 | +8.5 | -5.6 | -4.1 |