Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/24 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 18,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +43.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -5.2 | +4.8 | +0.4 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 28% | 24% | 26% | -2.5 | +1.4 | -1.6 | +2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 21% | 28% | 24% | 27% | -2.5 | -2.5 | -21.8 | +26.8 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 3,000 | 17% | 23% | 11% | 49% | -1.3 | -1.1 | +5.2 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 24% | 14% | 47% | -3.3 | -1.5 | +7.5 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 23% | 17% | 44% | -15.2 | -18.3 | +52.1 | -18.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 11% | 58% | 24% | -4.3 | +12.8 | -5.2 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 7% | 17% | 55% | 21% | -15.1 | -0.5 | -3.8 | +19.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 3% | 15% | 47% | 35% | +0.1 | 0.0 | +23.7 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 18,000 from Hinata Aiko | 2% | 10% | 77% | 12% | +39.9 | +2.3 | +0.9 | -43.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,200 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 9% | 11% | 78% | 2% | -9.5 | -0.3 | +9.7 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 6% | 91% | 1% | -9.7 | +28.0 | -11.7 | -6.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 25% | 73% | 1% | -8.1 | +43.6 | -28.9 | -6.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 0% | 84% | 16% | 0% | -6.8 | -3.0 | +8.4 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 78% | 21% | 0% | +12.7 | +5.2 | -5.4 | -12.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 90% | 10% | 0% | -1.9 | -3.3 | +3.8 | +1.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 85% | 15% | 0% | +1.2 | +9.3 | -6.7 | -3.8 |