Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+51.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +77.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +2.6 | -2.7 | +6.0 | -5.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | -10.0 | -3.8 | -6.2 | +20.0 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 18% | 21% | 23% | 37% | +3.1 | -3.7 | -3.3 | +4.0 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 18% | 21% | 41% | +22.6 | -4.1 | -15.0 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 39% | 14% | 12% | 35% | +13.5 | -0.3 | -7.5 | -5.7 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 14% | 8% | 27% | -11.4 | -3.7 | -3.3 | +18.4 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 36% | 11% | 6% | 47% | -38.1 | +37.4 | -1.2 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 36% | 7% | 50% | -7.2 | -3.1 | +8.2 | +2.2 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 5% | 32% | 9% | 54% | -3.2 | -14.5 | +14.5 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 5% | 19% | 14% | 61% | +2.4 | -40.4 | +45.6 | -7.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 1% | 54% | 42% | -9.8 | +12.1 | +2.6 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 2% | 67% | 31% | -11.8 | +77.8 | -28.3 | -37.7 |