Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+51.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +77.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +2.5 | -1.7 | +5.3 | -6.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 22% | 28% | 22% | -10.0 | -3.1 | -4.2 | +17.3 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 21% | 20% | 25% | 35% | +1.8 | -1.6 | -7.7 | +7.4 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 18% | 19% | 42% | +22.3 | -6.8 | -12.9 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 37% | 13% | 12% | 37% | +14.1 | +1.2 | -6.9 | -8.4 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 52% | 14% | 8% | 26% | -10.5 | -4.9 | -2.7 | +18.1 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 39% | 10% | 7% | 45% | -39.2 | +39.0 | -1.8 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,000 | 9% | 36% | 6% | 49% | -6.5 | -2.9 | +7.0 | +2.4 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 6% | 33% | 9% | 53% | -3.7 | -14.9 | +14.7 | +4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 6% | 18% | 14% | 61% | +1.4 | -39.9 | +46.5 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 1% | 55% | 41% | -8.5 | +11.5 | +1.4 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 3% | 65% | 32% | -12.5 | +77.7 | -27.3 | -37.9 |