Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +30.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -12.3 | -6.6 | +21.8 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 15% | 21% | 41% | 22% | -7.4 | -1.3 | +1.4 | +7.4 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 18% | 44% | 26% | +21.4 | -8.3 | -11.4 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Win | 25% | 15% | 34% | 27% | +17.5 | -1.2 | -3.8 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 40% | 14% | 29% | 17% | +17.8 | -6.4 | -5.9 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 58% | 9% | 20% | 12% | -28.4 | -2.3 | +30.6 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 9% | 54% | 12% | -5.2 | +5.1 | -4.7 | +4.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 22% | 12% | 50% | 16% | +2.1 | -10.8 | +3.8 | +4.9 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 5% | 54% | 19% | -13.0 | -5.7 | +30.5 | -11.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 0% | 93% | 4% | +2.0 | -21.1 | +14.6 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -0.4 | -1.0 | +4.1 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -11.7 | -3.7 | -6.3 | +21.8 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -1.9 | -3.9 | +0.1 | +5.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -3.2 | +9.6 | -1.3 | -5.0 |