Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +30.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -13.1 | -6.8 | +23.5 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 16% | 22% | 41% | 20% | -5.7 | -3.8 | -0.6 | +10.1 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 17% | 42% | 28% | +18.4 | -4.7 | -9.4 | -4.3 |
| East 4 | Win | 24% | 15% | 35% | 26% | +15.2 | -4.3 | -1.4 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 36% | 14% | 32% | 18% | +20.0 | -5.9 | -8.7 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 57% | 9% | 21% | 13% | -27.2 | +0.5 | +30.0 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 10% | 53% | 12% | -5.7 | +3.0 | -3.9 | +6.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 22% | 12% | 50% | 16% | +2.7 | -10.3 | +4.4 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 5% | 56% | 17% | -13.1 | -5.6 | +29.8 | -11.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 3% | 0% | 92% | 4% | +3.2 | -20.8 | +14.3 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -2.4 | -1.4 | +3.4 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -10.4 | -3.6 | -5.4 | +19.4 |
| South 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -1.5 | -4.0 | -0.1 | +5.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -3.9 | +9.6 | -1.3 | -4.4 |