Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +37.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 26% | 23% | 24% | -9.8 | -5.8 | +15.5 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 21% | 36% | 24% | -1.6 | -7.6 | +13.2 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 17% | 16% | 47% | 20% | -3.3 | -1.6 | +6.4 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 13% | 53% | 20% | +7.0 | -1.4 | -3.7 | -1.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 18% | 14% | 50% | 18% | -6.2 | -2.2 | +11.4 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 13% | 10% | 64% | 13% | -4.2 | +16.7 | -10.6 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 21% | 53% | 15% | +4.8 | +5.3 | -5.1 | -5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 26% | 48% | 13% | -2.8 | -8.3 | +16.1 | -5.0 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 13% | 69% | 9% | -7.4 | +42.6 | -24.1 | -11.1 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 3% | 67% | 25% | 5% | +1.7 | -28.9 | +37.3 | -10.1 |