Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -9.4 | -5.6 | +16.6 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 21% | 37% | 23% | -0.7 | -6.4 | +9.2 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 16% | 45% | 21% | -3.4 | -3.7 | +10.7 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 13% | 55% | 18% | +6.8 | +0.2 | -3.2 | -3.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 18% | 13% | 53% | 16% | -7.1 | -0.6 | +9.6 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 12% | 11% | 66% | 11% | -3.0 | +15.2 | -11.4 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 22% | 53% | 14% | +5.0 | +5.3 | -5.7 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,700 | 15% | 26% | 47% | 12% | -3.0 | -7.5 | +15.1 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 15% | 67% | 9% | -7.6 | +42.0 | -22.4 | -12.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 3% | 67% | 26% | 5% | +1.6 | -29.3 | +36.9 | -9.2 |