Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/28 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +0.1 | -0.2 | +4.9 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 25% | 29% | 22% | +16.2 | -7.7 | -3.6 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 18% | 25% | 19% | +0.1 | -5.1 | +7.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 16% | 30% | 18% | -2.2 | +4.8 | +3.6 | -6.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 33% | 18% | 34% | 15% | -0.1 | -4.2 | -31.4 | +35.6 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 33% | 15% | 13% | 39% | +32.6 | -27.9 | +0.6 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 65% | 4% | 8% | 24% | -2.1 | +6.5 | -4.4 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 66% | 5% | 6% | 23% | +0.4 | +7.4 | -7.2 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 67% | 6% | 5% | 23% | +11.6 | -12.8 | +1.9 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 82% | 0% | 4% | 14% | +1.6 | -8.6 | -2.7 | +9.6 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 84% | 0% | 0% | 16% | +4.8 | -5.2 | +11.0 | -10.6 |