Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/28 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -0.1 | +0.1 | +7.2 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 30% | 20% | +14.6 | -10.8 | -2.4 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 35% | 17% | 28% | 20% | +1.4 | -3.6 | +4.0 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 15% | 30% | 19% | -0.9 | +4.9 | +1.1 | -5.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 36% | 18% | 30% | 16% | -2.1 | -3.6 | -29.9 | +35.6 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 33% | 16% | 13% | 39% | +33.2 | -29.0 | +1.8 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 66% | 3% | 8% | 24% | -3.0 | +7.4 | -3.9 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 65% | 5% | 7% | 23% | 0.0 | +8.6 | -8.4 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 65% | 7% | 5% | 23% | +12.0 | -14.5 | +1.0 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 81% | 0% | 3% | 16% | +0.7 | -8.0 | -1.6 | +9.0 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 82% | 0% | 0% | 18% | +6.2 | -5.2 | +11.1 | -12.1 |