Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/28 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+49.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi ron 6,400 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +68.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 | +4.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 26% | 25% | 29% | -2.0 | -8.2 | -5.9 | +16.0 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 20% | 19% | 21% | 41% | +11.2 | +2.2 | -3.6 | -9.8 |
| East 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 21% | 17% | 34% | -6.9 | -6.7 | +27.5 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 18% | 38% | 22% | -3.4 | -4.0 | -1.1 | +8.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 20% | 15% | 37% | 28% | -2.7 | -5.7 | -8.3 | +16.8 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 11% | 27% | 45% | -13.0 | +44.7 | -23.5 | -8.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 50% | 10% | 28% | +2.6 | -13.9 | -3.8 | +15.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 6,400 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 13% | 25% | 8% | 53% | +68.5 | -49.7 | +1.4 | -20.2 |