Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/28 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+49.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +67.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -5.6 | +1.7 | -1.6 | +5.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 26% | 24% | 30% | -4.2 | -7.3 | -3.1 | +14.7 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 19% | 20% | 21% | 41% | +12.1 | +0.4 | -2.8 | -9.7 |
| East 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 21% | 19% | 33% | -6.9 | -6.1 | +25.8 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 21% | 17% | 39% | 23% | -5.2 | -3.2 | +0.9 | +7.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 17% | 16% | 40% | 27% | -0.8 | -5.7 | -10.1 | +16.6 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 11% | 28% | 44% | -12.9 | +44.3 | -23.2 | -8.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 12% | 49% | 10% | 28% | +4.1 | -13.6 | -5.3 | +14.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 26% | 8% | 51% | +67.4 | -49.7 | +1.9 | -19.6 |