Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/29 Game 1
Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kanako Maruyama tsumo 16,000, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +87.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -4.9 | +3.4 | -1.8 | +3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 28% | 24% | 26% | +26.6 | -13.1 | -7.0 | -6.5 |
| East 3 | Kanako Maruyama ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 44% | 17% | 18% | 21% | +7.3 | -3.3 | -5.4 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 51% | 15% | 12% | 21% | -0.9 | -14.4 | +16.9 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 10% | 22% | 19% | -17.6 | -6.6 | +29.8 | -5.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 7% | 50% | 15% | -2.5 | +1.4 | -2.9 | +4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 27% | 8% | 48% | 18% | +19.2 | -15.2 | -3.0 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 48% | 0% | 38% | 14% | -2.8 | +1.5 | +10.1 | -8.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 40% | 1% | 52% | 7% | -41.2 | +36.4 | +13.2 | -8.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 4% | 84% | 8% | -6.6 | -4.4 | -2.2 | +13.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 4% | 80% | 12% | -13.2 | -15.5 | -30.7 | +59.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 2% | 18% | 80% | +87.4 | -17.6 | -28.8 | -41.1 |