Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/29 Game 1
Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Maruyama Kanako tsumo 16,000, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +87.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.2 | +4.5 | -1.7 | +2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 29% | 24% | 27% | +28.4 | -13.0 | -10.5 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Maruyama Kanako ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 42% | 19% | 16% | 23% | +6.6 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 50% | 16% | 13% | 21% | +1.3 | -16.2 | +16.0 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 9% | 21% | 17% | -19.0 | -6.3 | +31.1 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 29% | 7% | 52% | 13% | -3.9 | +2.4 | -3.1 | +4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 8% | 48% | 18% | +21.6 | -16.9 | -3.6 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 50% | 1% | 37% | 12% | -3.7 | +0.7 | +10.7 | -7.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 39% | 0% | 52% | 8% | -41.1 | +36.9 | +12.7 | -8.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 4% | 4% | 84% | 8% | -5.3 | -4.8 | -1.5 | +11.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 4% | 81% | 11% | -14.6 | -14.1 | -31.0 | +59.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 2% | 19% | 78% | +87.5 | -18.3 | -29.0 | -40.2 |