Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/29 Game 2
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Maehara Yudai tsumo 16,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +49.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +17.7 | +0.9 | -0.8 | -17.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 38% | 23% | 24% | 15% | -5.7 | +10.9 | -1.5 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 32% | 32% | 22% | 14% | +25.1 | -24.6 | -0.8 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 57% | 13% | 19% | 11% | -7.2 | +32.2 | -18.7 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 5,800 from Nikaido Aki | 48% | 34% | 9% | 9% | +0.6 | +0.1 | -12.8 | +12.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 47% | 34% | 6% | 13% | +1.8 | +2.2 | -6.6 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 35% | 4% | 13% | +0.5 | -1.4 | +8.3 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 52% | 33% | 6% | 9% | +5.1 | -5.1 | -2.0 | +2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 28% | 5% | 9% | -11.5 | -10.4 | -6.7 | +28.7 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 16,000 | 46% | 22% | 4% | 28% | -17.7 | -24.6 | -7.0 | +49.2 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 10% | 1% | 2% | 87% | -4.4 | +1.7 | -4.6 | +7.3 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +14.9 | -13.9 | -0.4 | -0.6 |