Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/29 Game 2
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yudai Maehara tsumo 16,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +49.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Yudai Maehara | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +19.7 | -0.6 | -1.2 | -17.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 22% | 23% | 14% | -9.2 | +14.7 | -2.4 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 31% | 34% | 22% | 14% | +25.8 | -28.1 | +1.5 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 57% | 12% | 19% | 11% | -7.5 | +32.9 | -17.7 | -7.7 |
| East 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 5,800 from Aki Nikaido | 48% | 33% | 10% | 8% | +1.2 | -0.5 | -14.1 | +13.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 31% | 6% | 13% | +0.4 | +2.7 | -6.6 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 34% | 4% | 14% | +2.4 | -1.3 | +8.7 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 32% | 6% | 9% | +2.7 | -2.7 | -3.4 | +3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 29% | 5% | 9% | -11.4 | -9.9 | -7.0 | +28.3 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 16,000 | 45% | 24% | 4% | 28% | -17.5 | -26.5 | -5.8 | +49.8 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 9% | 1% | 2% | 88% | -3.0 | +1.7 | -5.3 | +6.6 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 1% | 0% | 0% | 98% | +14.3 | -13.6 | -0.2 | -0.5 |