Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/31 Game 2
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+33.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +27.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -5.6 | -4.9 | +4.5 | +6.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 23% | 27% | 29% | -3.6 | +4.3 | +2.0 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 7,700 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 27% | 30% | 25% | -0.4 | +23.6 | -22.4 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 17% | 44% | 15% | 24% | +1.3 | -6.2 | +38.5 | -33.5 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 17% | 35% | 40% | 8% | -1.8 | +27.2 | -23.6 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 65% | 16% | 6% | +4.4 | +5.3 | +1.2 | -10.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 72% | 14% | 2% | -8.6 | +1.0 | +6.5 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 76% | 16% | 3% | +5.8 | -2.0 | -4.2 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 7% | 77% | 14% | 2% | -3.5 | +12.4 | -2.8 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 96% | 2% | 1% | -3.5 | -2.1 | -3.2 | +8.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 1% | 95% | 2% | 2% | -3.3 | -26.1 | +37.4 | -8.0 |