Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/31 Game 2
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+33.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +25.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -5.6 | -4.2 | +3.7 | +6.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 23% | 27% | 29% | -6.1 | +7.1 | +3.6 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 7,700 from Kobayashi Go | 17% | 27% | 30% | 26% | +1.4 | +21.5 | -22.1 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 17% | 44% | 16% | 24% | -1.0 | -3.9 | +38.4 | -33.5 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 14% | 38% | 39% | 8% | +1.1 | +25.6 | -24.9 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 13% | 66% | 15% | 6% | +3.8 | +4.4 | +2.3 | -10.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 72% | 13% | 2% | -9.0 | +0.5 | +7.0 | +1.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 6% | 75% | 16% | 3% | +5.3 | -1.0 | -3.6 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 6% | 78% | 14% | 2% | -3.0 | +11.9 | -4.2 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 96% | 2% | 1% | -4.2 | -2.2 | -2.6 | +9.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 1% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -2.6 | -26.1 | +37.1 | -8.5 |