Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/1 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -8.8 | -1.0 | -4.7 | +14.6 |
| East 2 | Win | 19% | 23% | 22% | 36% | -17.2 | -2.1 | -0.7 | +19.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 19% | 18% | 53% | -4.9 | +5.0 | +2.0 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura | 8% | 21% | 20% | 51% | +10.3 | -3.8 | -8.5 | +2.1 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 19% | 15% | 56% | -7.8 | -11.0 | -8.8 | +27.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 5% | 8% | 6% | 82% | -2.5 | +5.9 | -0.8 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 3% | 9% | 5% | 83% | -5.6 | +0.7 | +12.4 | -7.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 10% | 10% | 78% | -3.3 | -8.9 | +10.6 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 3% | 13% | 83% | +14.7 | -19.0 | -1.9 | +6.2 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 97% | +32.2 | -11.9 | -16.5 | -3.7 |