Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/1 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -8.7 | +1.4 | -3.4 | +10.7 |
| East 2 | Win | 20% | 24% | 22% | 34% | -18.6 | -4.1 | +1.2 | +21.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 9% | 18% | 20% | 53% | -3.3 | +6.3 | +0.2 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin | 9% | 23% | 20% | 48% | +9.5 | -2.8 | -8.9 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 20% | 16% | 53% | -6.9 | -13.3 | -9.2 | +29.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 4% | 8% | 5% | 83% | -2.7 | +5.8 | +1.4 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 4% | 9% | 7% | 80% | -6.6 | -0.7 | +13.1 | -5.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 11% | 11% | 77% | -3.7 | -6.9 | +8.9 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | +14.8 | -20.2 | -1.3 | +6.7 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 3% | 96% | +32.3 | -11.1 | -17.4 | -3.9 |