Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/1 Game 2
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +50.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -14.7 | -5.2 | -7.7 | +27.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 15% | 20% | 20% | 45% | -2.9 | +4.8 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 23% | 19% | 43% | +4.8 | -4.3 | 0.0 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 20% | 19% | 44% | +20.8 | -5.9 | -11.3 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 31% | 15% | 13% | 41% | -33.0 | +0.9 | +1.3 | +30.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 8% | 11% | 9% | 72% | -5.5 | -2.9 | +29.1 | -20.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 8% | 13% | 28% | 50% | +3.2 | +4.6 | +0.7 | -8.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 18% | 30% | 42% | +3.4 | +1.2 | -1.8 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 12% | 18% | 31% | 40% | -5.8 | -0.4 | +37.0 | -30.8 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 13% | 73% | 11% | -14.7 | +56.1 | -27.1 | -14.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 68% | 27% | 4% | +4.0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 72% | 23% | 4% | -12.5 | +5.7 | -5.2 | +12.0 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 86% | 10% | 4% | -4.5 | -36.5 | +50.6 | -9.6 |