Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

11/4 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +41.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Makoto Sawazaki● Kenji Katsumata● Saki Kurosawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Makoto● Kenji● Saki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMakoto Sawazaki
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Makoto Sawazaki
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
East 1Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,00026%26%24%25%-22.0-12.6+41.0-6.4
East 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,00011%15%57%18%-5.2-16.3+29.5-8.0
East 3Exhaustive draw3%3%87%7%+2.9-1.0-1.9+0.1
East 4, 1 honbaMakoto Sawazaki ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani3%3%88%6%+7.5-1.9-1.1-4.5
South 1Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata5%3%89%4%-2.5-10.0+1.8+10.7
South 2Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata1%2%93%5%+13.3-14.0+1.6-0.8
South 3Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,2001%0%95%4%-7.4-2.4-4.0+13.8
South 4Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,0000%0%95%5%+22.9-2.0+0.8-21.6

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)