Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/4 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 16,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +42.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -24.3 | -8.3 | +42.5 | -9.9 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 16% | 60% | 15% | -3.1 | -16.0 | +26.5 | -7.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 4% | 4% | 85% | 7% | +3.5 | -5.5 | -1.9 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 4% | 3% | 86% | 8% | +7.5 | -0.2 | +0.5 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 5% | 3% | 89% | 3% | -2.6 | -10.5 | +1.9 | +11.2 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 1% | 93% | 4% | +13.4 | -13.1 | +1.3 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -7.2 | -2.6 | -4.1 | +13.9 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | +22.7 | -2.0 | +0.8 | -21.5 |