Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

11/5 Game 1

Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Yudai Maehara ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +26.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 3End● Yudai Maehara● Akira Wakutsu● Sho Shiratori● Kotaro Uchikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 3End● Yudai● Akira● Sho● Kotaro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAkira Wakutsu
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Akira Wakutsu
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Yudai Maehara ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa26%25%25%24%-2.5+1.6+14.3-13.3
East 2Akira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara23%24%36%17%+21.5-3.0-21.7+3.2
East 3Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Yudai Maehara41%22%19%18%+4.2+0.2-9.5+5.1
East 4Yudai Maehara ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa44%22%13%21%+0.2+0.2+18.2-18.6
South 1Exhaustive draw46%21%23%10%-2.5+1.6+5.6-4.7
South 2, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 6,400 from Akira Wakutsu43%21%28%8%-22.6+0.7+1.0+20.9
South 3Yudai Maehara ron 1,500 from Akira Wakutsu24%24%31%21%-6.8-0.3+8.1-1.0
South 3, 1 honbaYudai Maehara ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori20%24%37%19%0.0-24.4+26.3-1.9
South 3, 2 honbaYudai Maehara ron 7,700 from Akira Wakutsu11%6%70%13%-24.8+3.5+17.4+3.9
South 3, 3 honbaAkira Wakutsu ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori1%2%91%7%+16.6-18.6+1.2+0.8
South 4Akira Wakutsu ron 3,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa0%0%95%5%+18.3-6.5+2.6-14.4

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)