Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+51.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +43.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -17.7 | -6.5 | -5.9 | +30.2 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 13% | 18% | 19% | 50% | -0.8 | -32.2 | +32.0 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 10% | 4% | 40% | 46% | +3.3 | -1.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 4% | 38% | 46% | -5.3 | +5.9 | +1.7 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 5% | 42% | 45% | -15.1 | +19.5 | -2.7 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 3% | 11% | 42% | 44% | +29.2 | -7.8 | -31.5 | +10.1 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 15% | 6% | 16% | 64% | +43.9 | -4.2 | -4.0 | -35.6 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 71% | 5% | 7% | 17% | +12.8 | -11.9 | +16.7 | -17.6 |