Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+51.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +43.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -16.4 | -8.4 | -8.1 | +32.8 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 12% | 18% | 17% | 53% | +1.3 | -32.4 | +34.8 | -3.7 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 12% | 4% | 40% | 45% | +0.7 | -0.7 | -1.5 | +1.5 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 4% | 38% | 47% | -4.0 | +5.5 | +0.5 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 5% | 40% | 47% | -16.2 | +20.0 | -0.7 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 12% | 41% | 44% | +30.3 | -6.6 | -32.4 | +8.6 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 16% | 7% | 16% | 61% | +43.0 | -7.4 | -1.9 | -33.7 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 72% | 4% | 8% | 16% | +12.9 | -10.9 | +15.4 | -17.5 |