Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/7 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +29.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -10.5 | +18.3 | -3.9 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 40% | 21% | 22% | -3.8 | -14.1 | +22.1 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 14% | 28% | 38% | 20% | -10.1 | -2.6 | +11.8 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 23% | 49% | 19% | -4.6 | -4.7 | -13.8 | +23.1 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,400 | 9% | 21% | 35% | 36% | -7.5 | +23.1 | -2.9 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 39% | 31% | 24% | -8.2 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +8.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 2% | 38% | 30% | 30% | +20.9 | +6.4 | +0.4 | -27.8 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 51% | 29% | 14% | -4.6 | +29.2 | -17.5 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 91% | 2% | 6% | +34.8 | -4.0 | -11.8 | -19.1 |