Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/7 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -9.2 | +15.7 | -2.9 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 37% | 23% | 23% | -4.8 | -12.2 | +20.9 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 15% | 27% | 38% | 20% | -9.9 | -0.6 | +12.4 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 25% | 48% | 18% | -5.2 | -4.5 | -14.0 | +23.7 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,400 | 8% | 23% | 35% | 34% | -6.9 | +22.8 | -2.9 | -13.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 6% | 41% | 31% | 22% | -7.1 | -0.9 | -2.1 | +10.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 2% | 38% | 29% | 30% | +21.3 | +4.2 | +2.0 | -27.6 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 49% | 30% | 14% | -6.5 | +30.9 | -17.2 | -7.2 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 92% | 3% | 5% | +35.2 | -4.0 | -12.4 | -18.8 |