Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/8 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +6.2 | -2.4 | -0.5 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,500 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 23% | -4.4 | -1.9 | -1.5 | +7.8 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 24% | 23% | 28% | +23.4 | -2.7 | -1.9 | -18.9 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 45% | 19% | 20% | 16% | +25.5 | -22.5 | -1.9 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Hagiwara Masato | 71% | 5% | 13% | 11% | -5.3 | -3.0 | +1.4 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 65% | 6% | 16% | 14% | -0.2 | -12.1 | +12.0 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 64% | 3% | 20% | 12% | -22.4 | +17.5 | +5.2 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 10% | 31% | 17% | +27.1 | -14.9 | -7.1 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 77% | 1% | 13% | 9% | +0.8 | -6.1 | -20.2 | +25.5 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 82% | 0% | 2% | 16% | +7.5 | -1.8 | +27.1 | -32.8 |