Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/8 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +46.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -3.0 | -1.8 | +26.1 | -21.3 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 22% | 44% | 13% | -3.5 | +34.4 | -32.0 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 51% | 19% | 13% | +0.7 | -4.1 | +5.8 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 19% | 48% | 22% | 11% | +0.3 | +23.9 | -22.0 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 74% | 7% | 8% | -2.9 | -0.1 | +14.9 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 10% | 76% | 11% | 3% | -2.7 | -31.5 | -2.6 | +36.8 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 42% | 18% | 24% | -8.9 | -17.3 | +37.5 | -11.3 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 10% | 23% | 49% | 17% | +0.6 | -16.5 | +15.6 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 9% | 71% | 14% | -15.5 | -10.9 | -34.1 | +60.4 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 2% | 3% | 11% | 84% | +11.7 | -23.2 | +46.7 | -35.2 |