Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +41.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -8.0 | -1.9 | +11.3 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 23% | 33% | 24% | +5.4 | -5.4 | +4.1 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 20% | 35% | 23% | -10.7 | -9.1 | -21.4 | +41.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 12% | 16% | 57% | -3.2 | +5.8 | -1.2 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 16% | 16% | 57% | +4.8 | -1.0 | -2.8 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Okada Sayaka | 15% | 15% | 15% | 55% | +17.6 | -4.1 | -10.5 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 12% | 10% | 52% | +34.5 | -7.9 | -10.8 | -15.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 59% | 8% | 5% | 27% | -2.4 | +30.2 | -25.3 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 55% | 20% | 1% | 24% | +30.7 | -11.3 | -13.0 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 91% | 2% | 0% | 7% | +1.5 | +3.5 | +9.5 | -14.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 95% | 1% | 0% | 4% | -6.8 | -2.0 | -2.5 | +11.3 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 91% | 1% | 0% | 8% | -3.1 | -3.8 | +0.1 | +6.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 88% | 1% | 0% | 10% | 0.0 | -7.2 | 0.0 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 88% | 1% | 0% | 11% | -23.0 | -15.4 | -0.5 | +38.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 32% | 0% | 0% | 68% | -13.7 | -0.3 | +4.9 | +9.1 |