Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -8.2 | -0.8 | +10.0 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 25% | 32% | 25% | +5.4 | -7.3 | +4.1 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 19% | 35% | 23% | -12.6 | -8.1 | -20.6 | +41.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 13% | 17% | 58% | -1.8 | +5.0 | -2.3 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 14% | 15% | 59% | +6.0 | -1.8 | -0.9 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Sayaka Okada | 16% | 14% | 15% | 55% | +16.2 | -0.2 | -13.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 14% | 10% | 52% | +35.4 | -10.4 | -8.6 | -16.4 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 61% | 7% | 5% | 27% | -1.8 | +30.7 | -24.5 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 57% | 20% | 1% | 22% | +28.7 | -11.5 | -14.0 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 90% | 2% | 0% | 8% | +1.8 | +4.2 | +9.8 | -15.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 94% | 2% | 0% | 4% | -6.4 | -2.0 | -2.7 | +11.1 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 92% | 1% | 0% | 8% | -3.1 | -4.6 | +0.1 | +7.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 89% | 2% | 0% | 10% | -1.1 | -7.2 | 0.0 | +8.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 86% | 1% | 0% | 13% | -20.3 | -15.1 | -0.7 | +36.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 0% | 0% | 65% | -15.4 | -0.5 | +5.2 | +10.7 |