Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/10 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+80.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 23% | 24% | 25% | +5.7 | -1.8 | -2.8 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | -16.5 | +26.5 | -4.0 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 43% | 20% | 19% | +7.0 | -3.0 | -2.3 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 23% | 40% | 18% | 19% | -2.5 | +12.9 | -3.8 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,700 | 18% | 53% | 14% | 15% | +8.0 | +1.3 | -1.3 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Wakutsu Akira | 21% | 56% | 13% | 9% | +10.6 | -9.4 | -1.9 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 45% | 12% | 10% | -16.2 | +25.3 | -4.1 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 76% | 7% | 6% | +10.2 | -1.3 | -4.6 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 15% | 77% | 5% | 4% | -26.0 | +1.2 | +25.0 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 80% | 12% | 5% | -12.2 | -21.3 | +42.1 | -8.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 1% | 39% | 58% | 2% | +3.3 | -35.2 | +29.2 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +3.5 | +1.4 | +7.7 | -12.7 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.2 | -0.5 | +2.8 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 6 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.4 | +15.3 | -1.7 | -11.2 |
| South 4 | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.1 | +3.9 | +0.8 | -3.7 |