Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/10 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+80.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +5.1 | +0.2 | -2.1 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -16.3 | +27.6 | -5.3 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 45% | 20% | 19% | +6.1 | -2.6 | -3.6 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 20% | 43% | 19% | 18% | -0.2 | +9.2 | -3.5 | -5.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 19% | 53% | 13% | 15% | +9.2 | +0.7 | -1.4 | -8.4 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Akira Wakutsu | 25% | 53% | 12% | 10% | +7.8 | -8.1 | +0.5 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 45% | 14% | 10% | -15.9 | +25.7 | -6.0 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 77% | 7% | 6% | +10.8 | -1.1 | -4.8 | -4.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 77% | 5% | 4% | -25.0 | +1.3 | +24.6 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 80% | 11% | 5% | -13.5 | -20.5 | +42.2 | -8.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 1% | 40% | 57% | 2% | +3.7 | -36.5 | +30.4 | +2.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +2.9 | +1.8 | +7.4 | -12.1 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +0.3 | -1.0 | +2.2 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 6 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -3.0 | +15.4 | -0.6 | -11.8 |
| South 4 | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.1 | +4.2 | +0.4 | -3.5 |