Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/11 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +54.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -5.0 | +6.2 | -2.0 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 21% | 30% | 23% | 26% | -7.9 | -3.9 | +10.5 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 24% | 31% | 28% | -2.3 | -2.0 | +0.6 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 24% | 30% | 30% | -3.5 | +6.7 | -3.5 | +0.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 29% | 27% | 30% | +17.9 | -0.2 | -12.9 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 25% | 30% | 19% | 27% | -5.5 | -2.4 | +8.5 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 27% | 26% | 27% | +8.0 | +6.2 | -7.9 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 31% | 20% | 23% | -23.1 | +54.0 | -14.3 | -16.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 90% | 4% | 4% | -4.4 | -6.8 | -9.2 | +20.4 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 86% | 4% | 8% | +25.0 | +1.9 | -21.5 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 91% | 0% | 7% | -15.1 | +5.4 | -0.2 | +10.0 |