Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+51.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -2.4 | -7.0 | +7.0 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 20% | 30% | 26% | -11.3 | +33.0 | -10.1 | -11.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 15% | 45% | 22% | 18% | -6.0 | +18.5 | -7.1 | -5.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 61% | 15% | 13% | +22.1 | -9.7 | -5.4 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 22% | 53% | 14% | 12% | +1.1 | -35.7 | +35.4 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 22% | 39% | 13% | -6.6 | +12.0 | -4.6 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 30% | 35% | 13% | -6.7 | +24.6 | -5.1 | -12.9 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 55% | 25% | 5% | -18.9 | -0.9 | -5.3 | +25.1 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 56% | 23% | 15% | -5.1 | +20.6 | -7.1 | -8.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 2% | 81% | 12% | 6% | +5.8 | +18.9 | -30.3 | +5.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | -1.2 | -5.7 | +7.4 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 94% | 2% | 3% | -7.4 | -19.8 | +32.7 | -5.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 77% | 15% | 7% | -3.0 | +5.4 | -21.4 | +19.1 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 88% | 1% | 10% | +21.3 | -2.4 | -23.6 | +4.7 |