Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

11/11 Game 2

Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+51.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +34.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance	Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance	Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance	Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance	Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change	Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change	Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change	Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change
East 1	Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki	26%	25%	25%	24%	-0.9	-8.9	+7.6	+2.2
East 2	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000	23%	19%	30%	27%	-11.3	+34.5	-12.0	-11.2
East 2, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800	15%	45%	22%	18%	-5.1	+18.2	-5.7	-7.5
East 2, 2 honba	Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000	10%	62%	15%	13%	+20.5	-7.9	-7.0	-5.6
East 3	Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki	22%	54%	13%	11%	+2.6	-38.6	+35.3	+0.6
East 3, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto	26%	21%	38%	14%	-7.3	+13.0	-4.4	-1.2
East 4	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000	22%	30%	35%	14%	-6.8	+25.5	-4.5	-14.2
South 1	Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000	14%	56%	25%	4%	-19.3	-1.3	-4.8	+25.5
South 2	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800	5%	57%	23%	16%	-3.8	+21.2	-9.0	-8.4
South 2, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	2%	83%	9%	6%	+5.9	+17.4	-28.6	+5.4
South 2, 2 honba	Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,200 from Hisato Sasaki	0%	96%	1%	2%	-1.9	-4.2	+6.0	+0.1
South 3	Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki	0%	95%	2%	2%	-7.9	-21.0	+34.8	-6.0
South 3, 1 honba	Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa	1%	76%	16%	6%	-3.0	+6.1	-21.9	+18.8
South 4	Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki	1%	88%	1%	9%	+21.6	-2.8	-24.0	+5.1

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)