Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Jun Murakami tsumo 16,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +39.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 16,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -20.9 | -8.2 | +39.0 | -9.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 17% | 58% | 14% | -2.5 | -7.1 | +9.3 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 11% | 68% | 13% | -3.9 | +15.7 | -7.6 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 7% | 19% | 61% | 13% | -1.4 | -0.1 | +8.4 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 1,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 5% | 14% | 74% | 7% | -4.2 | -3.0 | +7.1 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 11% | 84% | 4% | +22.9 | -16.7 | +1.0 | -7.2 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 4% | 2% | 90% | 4% | +8.0 | -0.2 | +0.2 | -8.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 1% | 94% | 4% | -1.0 | -1.1 | -0.3 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 2% | 1% | 94% | 3% | +9.0 | -0.1 | +2.6 | -11.5 |