Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Murakami Jun tsumo 16,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -23.8 | -9.4 | +42.6 | -9.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 9% | 15% | 61% | 15% | -0.1 | -5.5 | +6.3 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 11% | 67% | 14% | -4.4 | +14.9 | -4.6 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 7% | 17% | 64% | 12% | -2.4 | +0.6 | +7.2 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 1,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 5% | 15% | 73% | 7% | -2.5 | -2.2 | +5.8 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 12% | 82% | 4% | +22.4 | -16.7 | +0.9 | -6.6 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 3% | 3% | 89% | 5% | +7.7 | -1.6 | +1.4 | -7.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 95% | 3% | -1.7 | -1.8 | -1.5 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 2% | 1% | 93% | 4% | +9.6 | +1.0 | +3.4 | -14.0 |