Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+48.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Draw, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +29.3 | -8.2 | -11.9 | -9.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 48% | 18% | 17% | 17% | +2.9 | -5.5 | +6.8 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,000 | 51% | 14% | 19% | 16% | -1.8 | -1.7 | +5.7 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 50% | 13% | 23% | 14% | +0.6 | -4.3 | -3.1 | +6.7 |
| East 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 10% | 21% | 17% | -1.8 | +21.6 | -12.3 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 52% | 22% | 12% | 14% | -24.0 | +2.6 | +24.3 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,000 | 29% | 28% | 30% | 13% | +11.9 | -5.3 | -4.0 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 40% | 22% | 27% | 11% | -1.6 | -0.4 | -2.9 | +4.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 38% | 23% | 25% | 13% | -17.0 | -5.8 | +24.2 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 16% | 48% | 15% | -4.4 | -10.1 | -3.0 | +17.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 18% | 12% | 50% | 20% | -32.6 | +22.6 | +24.9 | -14.9 |