Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+48.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +25.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | +31.6 | -9.0 | -12.0 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 17% | 16% | 18% | +3.7 | -4.4 | +5.4 | -4.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,000 | 52% | 15% | 18% | 15% | -2.3 | -2.5 | +5.5 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 51% | 13% | 22% | 15% | -0.9 | -4.6 | +0.5 | +5.0 |
| East 3 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 10% | 22% | 17% | -2.3 | +23.7 | -14.5 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 49% | 24% | 13% | 14% | -22.3 | -0.3 | +25.5 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,000 | 29% | 25% | 34% | 13% | +11.9 | -2.8 | -6.3 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 23% | 27% | 12% | +0.1 | -2.3 | -2.8 | +4.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 40% | 21% | 24% | 14% | -18.1 | -5.4 | +25.5 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 14% | 50% | 14% | -5.7 | -9.0 | -3.2 | +17.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 12% | 50% | 19% | -31.8 | +22.5 | +24.0 | -14.7 |