Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

11/14 Game 1

Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 32,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +72.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance	Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance	Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance	Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance	Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change	Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change	Maehara Yudai Expected pt change	Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change
East 1	Maruyama Kanako tsumo 3,000	23%	26%	24%	27%	+13.1	-2.8	-1.1	-9.2
East 1, 1 honba	Draw	34%	23%	23%	20%	+4.2	-3.1	-2.8	+1.7
East 1, 2 honba	Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200	36%	22%	21%	21%	-9.6	-4.5	-3.2	+17.3
East 2	Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000	28%	19%	20%	33%	+2.8	-5.3	+3.1	-0.6
East 3	Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000	30%	16%	22%	32%	-8.1	+24.9	-13.0	-3.7
East 4	Draw	24%	31%	15%	30%	-1.4	-2.5	+10.1	-6.3
South 1, 1 honba	Maruyama Kanako ron 5,800 from Maehara Yudai	24%	30%	20%	25%	+23.0	-1.3	-21.5	-0.1
South 1, 2 honba	Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 32,000	42%	26%	9%	23%	-43.9	+72.7	-12.3	-16.5
South 2	Draw	0%	98%	1%	1%	-1.4	+1.3	+2.2	-2.2
South 2, 1 honba	Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako	0%	98%	0%	2%	-26.1	-1.0	+31.2	-4.1
South 3	Draw	0%	98%	1%	1%	+1.7	-0.4	+0.5	-1.8
South 4, 1 honba	Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai	0%	99%	0%	1%	+6.9	-0.8	-38.3	+32.3
South 4, 2 honba	Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto	0%	98%	0%	2%	-0.2	-19.2	+0.1	+19.2
South 4, 3 honba	Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako	0%	82%	0%	18%	-17.2	+12.6	+12.8	-8.1

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)