Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/14 Game 1
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 32,000, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +72.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +8.6 | -0.2 | -3.8 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 24% | 22% | 22% | +6.5 | -3.5 | +0.5 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 37% | 22% | 22% | 19% | -9.2 | -4.2 | -5.5 | +18.9 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 29% | 21% | 19% | 31% | +0.9 | -7.0 | +6.9 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 15% | 24% | 31% | -6.4 | +24.4 | -15.3 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 31% | 14% | 30% | -1.4 | +0.3 | +7.7 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,800 from Yudai Maehara | 25% | 32% | 18% | 24% | +21.6 | -2.2 | -20.5 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 32,000 | 42% | 27% | 8% | 23% | -44.2 | +72.4 | -10.8 | -17.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -0.7 | +0.7 | +2.0 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -27.0 | -1.1 | +31.3 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 98% | 2% | 1% | +2.3 | +0.4 | 0.0 | -2.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +7.4 | -1.1 | -38.8 | +32.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -1.0 | -19.0 | +0.6 | +19.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,900 from Kanako Maruyama | 0% | 81% | 0% | 19% | -16.5 | +12.6 | +12.7 | -8.7 |