Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +74.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -1.4 | +2.9 | +2.6 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 28% | 26% | 23% | -1.8 | -4.2 | -0.5 | +6.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 24% | 27% | 26% | -0.1 | -1.5 | +1.2 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 23% | 28% | 26% | +14.5 | -1.0 | -10.3 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 34% | 23% | 19% | 25% | -5.3 | +4.9 | +1.9 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 26% | 22% | 22% | +4.2 | +7.6 | -6.4 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 33% | 31% | 17% | 19% | +0.1 | +0.5 | -4.6 | +4.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 31% | 15% | 22% | +11.7 | -3.9 | -5.9 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 44% | 25% | 12% | 20% | -27.6 | -24.4 | +74.7 | -22.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 3% | 83% | 6% | -5.4 | -4.4 | +14.8 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | +20.7 | -5.5 | -7.2 | -8.0 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 5% | 0% | 92% | 2% | +8.3 | +3.8 | +3.9 | -15.9 |