Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +74.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 26% | 25% | 23% | -1.0 | +1.4 | +4.0 | -4.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 26% | 27% | 21% | -3.7 | +0.1 | -2.7 | +6.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 28% | 25% | 24% | -2.0 | -3.8 | +4.4 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 23% | 28% | 27% | +15.7 | -2.7 | -10.0 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 32% | 22% | 21% | 25% | -6.6 | +7.5 | +1.0 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 28% | 27% | 22% | 23% | +4.6 | +6.5 | -5.7 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 31% | 32% | 17% | 19% | +0.5 | +0.4 | -5.9 | +5.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 30% | 33% | 15% | 22% | +11.2 | -5.2 | -4.3 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 42% | 24% | 14% | 21% | -26.6 | -22.9 | +74.0 | -24.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 7% | 4% | 84% | 5% | -5.3 | -4.6 | +14.0 | -4.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +20.8 | -6.0 | -6.9 | -7.9 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 5% | 0% | 93% | 2% | +8.5 | +4.0 | +3.4 | -15.9 |