Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/15 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 27% | 26% | 23% | +6.0 | -5.1 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 4,800 from Setokuma Naoki | 29% | 21% | 25% | 24% | +14.5 | -12.0 | -2.6 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 41% | 15% | 21% | 23% | -2.0 | +22.9 | -20.3 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 6,400 from Hinata Aiko | 38% | 27% | 12% | 22% | +18.0 | -3.3 | -15.3 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 6,400 from Setokuma Naoki | 55% | 21% | 5% | 19% | +1.8 | -15.2 | -2.2 | +15.6 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000 | 56% | 12% | 4% | 28% | -8.3 | -3.5 | -4.1 | +15.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 44% | 10% | 3% | 43% | -2.5 | -5.2 | +4.4 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 5,200 | 41% | 9% | 4% | 47% | -1.7 | -5.1 | +10.7 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 5,200 | 42% | 7% | 6% | 45% | -7.8 | -5.0 | +12.8 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 35% | 7% | 10% | 49% | -1.0 | +6.4 | -3.2 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 35% | 9% | 10% | 45% | +1.7 | -12.5 | -1.1 | +11.9 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 2% | 7% | 60% | -12.9 | -2.2 | -10.9 | +26.0 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 6,400 from Hinata Aiko | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | +1.1 | +19.3 | -20.3 | -0.1 |