Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/15 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -24.9 | -1.3 | +26.0 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 22% | 45% | 23% | -8.6 | +32.4 | -12.0 | -11.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 47% | 30% | 16% | -2.8 | +1.5 | -2.8 | +4.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 6% | 47% | 29% | 18% | +5.3 | +1.1 | -3.6 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 51% | 25% | 17% | -5.8 | -7.3 | -20.6 | +33.8 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Koshin Asakura | 6% | 42% | 12% | 40% | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.2 | +1.0 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 5% | 41% | 12% | 42% | -7.9 | +2.3 | +5.9 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Koshin Asakura | 1% | 43% | 15% | 41% | -2.3 | -4.8 | -1.6 | +8.7 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 35% | 11% | 53% | -4.0 | -6.8 | -6.3 | +17.1 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 0% | 16% | 2% | 82% | -1.0 | -33.0 | +27.9 | +6.0 |