Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/15 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -24.2 | -0.2 | +22.3 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 25% | 42% | 23% | -8.7 | +29.8 | -12.1 | -9.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 48% | 28% | 17% | -1.4 | +2.9 | -3.5 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 7% | 49% | 26% | 18% | +7.2 | -2.7 | -2.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 49% | 25% | 17% | -8.1 | -5.4 | -20.5 | +33.9 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Asakura Koshin | 6% | 42% | 11% | 42% | +0.1 | -1.5 | +1.0 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 6% | 39% | 12% | 43% | -8.9 | +1.6 | +5.6 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Asakura Koshin | 1% | 41% | 14% | 44% | -1.4 | -3.1 | -1.6 | +6.1 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 36% | 11% | 51% | -5.1 | -7.6 | -5.1 | +17.7 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 0% | 15% | 2% | 83% | -1.1 | -32.2 | +27.1 | +6.2 |