Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/18 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +29.8 | -0.4 | -1.6 | -27.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 49% | 22% | 19% | 10% | -5.3 | -2.7 | +30.5 | -22.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 38% | 18% | 41% | 3% | -1.3 | +5.4 | -2.6 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 37% | 21% | 39% | 3% | +4.8 | -5.7 | +2.8 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 41% | 16% | 40% | 3% | -3.4 | -1.8 | +11.6 | -6.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 34% | 14% | 51% | 1% | -0.4 | -0.4 | -2.6 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 35% | 13% | 50% | 2% | +3.2 | +0.2 | +2.6 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 36% | 12% | 52% | 1% | +7.4 | -0.3 | -20.7 | +13.7 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 14% | 30% | 2% | -14.9 | +36.2 | -15.0 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 33% | 46% | 19% | 1% | 0.0 | -30.7 | +30.3 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Takamiya Mari | 33% | 15% | 51% | 1% | -1.4 | -9.4 | +11.3 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 7% | 67% | 1% | +38.2 | -2.0 | -36.6 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 90% | 2% | 7% | 1% | +4.4 | +28.6 | -17.9 | -15.1 |