Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/18 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Murakami Jun tsumo 24,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +72.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +4.9 | +0.6 | -4.1 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 28% | 26% | 22% | 24% | +32.6 | -3.1 | -2.6 | -26.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 53% | 21% | 16% | 10% | -3.0 | -2.4 | +22.2 | -16.8 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 48% | 17% | 30% | 5% | -31.8 | +33.5 | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 22% | 44% | 30% | 4% | -1.5 | -5.9 | +20.3 | -12.9 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 18% | 34% | 47% | 2% | -20.5 | +5.0 | +2.1 | +13.4 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 39% | 50% | 3% | -13.4 | -13.8 | -13.6 | +40.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 7% | 33% | 41% | 20% | +2.8 | -4.3 | +3.9 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 30% | 45% | 17% | +16.3 | -3.0 | -6.0 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 15% | 28% | 41% | 15% | -28.8 | -2.4 | +0.2 | +31.0 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Murakami Jun | 3% | 24% | 39% | 34% | -2.2 | -2.3 | +22.5 | -18.0 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 14% | 69% | 16% | -4.0 | -11.4 | +23.4 | -8.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 94% | 4% | -5.1 | +19.2 | -5.9 | -8.2 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 5% | 92% | 3% | -13.5 | -4.3 | -3.1 | +20.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 4% | 85% | 11% | -8.1 | -22.1 | -42.4 | +72.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -1.3 | -0.1 | +1.8 | -0.4 |