Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/18 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Jun Murakami tsumo 24,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +72.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +4.4 | -0.4 | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 29% | 24% | 22% | 25% | +33.7 | -2.8 | -2.4 | -28.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 55% | 19% | 17% | 10% | -4.2 | +0.1 | +20.9 | -16.8 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 49% | 19% | 28% | 5% | -30.6 | +30.6 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 22% | 44% | 29% | 5% | -3.6 | -2.6 | +19.2 | -13.0 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 17% | 38% | 43% | 2% | -19.3 | +2.3 | +3.5 | +13.5 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 39% | 50% | 4% | -12.9 | -13.7 | -13.8 | +40.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 8% | 33% | 39% | 20% | +2.9 | -4.8 | +4.8 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 28% | 46% | 16% | +14.9 | -3.7 | -4.6 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 16% | 27% | 42% | 15% | -28.5 | -1.8 | +0.4 | +30.0 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Jun Murakami | 3% | 24% | 41% | 33% | -0.4 | -2.8 | +22.7 | -19.4 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 14% | 72% | 13% | -5.5 | -9.6 | +21.6 | -6.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 94% | 5% | -5.1 | +18.3 | -6.0 | -7.2 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 5% | 92% | 3% | -12.7 | -4.4 | -2.8 | +19.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 4% | 86% | 10% | -8.2 | -22.3 | -42.4 | +72.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -1.4 | -0.1 | +1.6 | -0.1 |