Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/19 Game 2
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+112.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -8.4 | +12.3 | -1.7 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 34% | 24% | 23% | -1.6 | +4.1 | +2.1 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 36% | 25% | 21% | -3.0 | +4.7 | -2.9 | +1.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 39% | 23% | 21% | -9.9 | +35.0 | -12.0 | -13.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 72% | 11% | 10% | -2.2 | +2.1 | -3.5 | +3.6 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 74% | 10% | 10% | -0.8 | +0.9 | -0.5 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 74% | 9% | 10% | -11.5 | +32.8 | -11.1 | -10.2 |
| East 2, 6 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,800 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 96% | 1% | 2% | -14.7 | +9.3 | +3.4 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 7 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +10.0 | -2.4 | -8.6 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | +2.1 | +0.3 | -2.7 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +0.7 | +2.2 | +2.1 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +7.8 | +0.1 | -8.1 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -11.0 | +9.2 | -0.2 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -7.0 | +4.2 | +2.1 | +0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -4.1 | -6.5 | +11.4 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.8 | +4.8 | -11.4 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +37.4 | +0.1 | -16.4 | -21.1 |