Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/19 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+112.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -8.2 | +10.8 | -2.3 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 34% | 23% | 24% | -2.2 | +3.2 | +2.3 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 36% | 25% | 21% | -1.7 | +8.3 | -3.1 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 41% | 22% | 19% | -10.7 | +31.3 | -10.4 | -10.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 7% | 71% | 12% | 10% | -2.2 | +3.6 | -2.8 | +1.4 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Draw | 6% | 74% | 10% | 9% | -1.5 | +1.2 | -2.5 | +2.8 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 76% | 9% | 9% | -10.1 | +31.1 | -10.7 | -10.4 |
| East 2, 6 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,800 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 96% | 1% | 2% | -14.2 | +10.0 | +2.4 | +1.8 |
| East 2, 7 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +9.9 | -2.4 | -8.3 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +1.5 | -0.2 | -1.4 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +0.2 | +2.4 | +1.5 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +6.3 | +0.1 | -6.9 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -9.2 | +9.5 | -1.5 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,900 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -7.2 | +4.5 | +1.9 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -3.7 | -6.7 | +10.8 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.1 | +4.9 | -9.8 | +7.0 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +38.1 | +0.1 | -17.0 | -21.1 |