Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/21 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hinata Aiko ron 6,400 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +3.3 | -2.2 | -3.5 | +2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 28% | 23% | 23% | 27% | +17.2 | -15.0 | -0.3 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 5,200 | 41% | 14% | 21% | 24% | -9.0 | -5.0 | -3.5 | +17.5 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,100 | 32% | 12% | 19% | 37% | -0.6 | +5.6 | -1.9 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 15% | 19% | 35% | -2.3 | -3.8 | -1.7 | +7.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 30% | 11% | 18% | 41% | +4.4 | +4.7 | -5.9 | -3.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 34% | 14% | 12% | 39% | +15.4 | -4.6 | -4.6 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 49% | 10% | 10% | 30% | +8.6 | -2.4 | -3.2 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 7,800 | 58% | 8% | 8% | 26% | +18.1 | -6.1 | -3.6 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 79% | 4% | 5% | 13% | +0.2 | -5.9 | -0.5 | +6.3 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 81% | 2% | 3% | 14% | -35.2 | -4.7 | -1.0 | +40.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 25% | 0% | 3% | 71% | -1.9 | +4.2 | +0.9 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 6,400 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 26% | 1% | 5% | 69% | +33.0 | -3.1 | -4.0 | -25.9 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 0% | 0% | 18% | +5.2 | -9.3 | +16.0 | -11.9 |