Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -1.0 | -7.3 | +9.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 21% | 31% | 25% | -7.8 | -21.0 | +33.7 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 13% | 8% | 60% | 19% | -4.5 | -2.2 | +12.8 | -6.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 5% | 72% | 12% | -3.8 | -3.7 | +12.7 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 3% | 85% | 7% | -4.5 | -3.6 | +11.6 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 1% | 93% | 4% | +0.4 | -4.3 | +1.9 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 1% | 94% | 3% | -0.2 | -3.2 | +3.1 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 2% | 1% | 94% | 3% | -3.7 | +20.7 | -12.5 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 3% | 90% | 4% | +0.8 | -3.4 | -2.7 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 3% | 87% | 6% | +30.8 | -7.9 | -4.0 | -18.9 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 2% | 85% | 2% | -10.6 | +13.1 | +2.8 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 3% | 93% | 2% | -3.0 | +5.2 | +0.4 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 4% | 92% | 2% | -7.0 | -22.4 | -0.9 | +30.3 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 0% | 95% | 4% | +10.8 | -5.2 | -1.8 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -6.1 | -2.3 | -1.6 | +9.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | +11.6 | -3.0 | +4.8 | -13.4 |