Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -1.7 | -7.5 | +9.6 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 21% | 32% | 24% | -7.1 | -20.0 | +34.8 | -7.8 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 8% | 62% | 16% | -4.7 | -3.2 | +11.9 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 5% | 74% | 11% | -3.1 | -2.8 | +10.2 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 3% | 82% | 9% | -3.1 | -5.2 | +13.2 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 3% | 2% | 92% | 4% | -1.0 | -3.9 | +1.5 | +3.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 2% | 1% | 93% | 4% | -1.0 | -1.3 | +4.4 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 2% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -2.7 | +18.8 | -13.3 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 2% | 3% | 90% | 4% | 0.0 | -2.4 | -2.6 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 3% | 88% | 6% | +31.0 | -9.7 | -3.8 | -17.5 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 2% | 85% | 2% | -10.2 | +14.9 | +1.9 | -6.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 3% | 3% | 92% | 2% | -5.1 | +5.2 | +1.9 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 4% | 93% | 2% | -5.5 | -22.9 | -2.0 | +30.5 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 0% | 95% | 4% | +11.0 | -5.5 | -1.3 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -6.3 | -2.0 | -1.5 | +9.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | +11.6 | -2.6 | +4.6 | -13.5 |