Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Win, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +34.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +9.0 | -0.1 | -6.5 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Win | 31% | 25% | 21% | 23% | -17.7 | +34.7 | -9.1 | -7.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 52% | 14% | 17% | -1.1 | -3.8 | +6.2 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 50% | 17% | 18% | -11.8 | -12.2 | +35.0 | -10.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 35% | 42% | 12% | -2.7 | -0.9 | -3.7 | +7.3 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 11% | 35% | 39% | 15% | -3.1 | +16.5 | -12.0 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 52% | 28% | 12% | +54.7 | -20.1 | -18.1 | -16.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 47% | 30% | 15% | 8% | -2.2 | +4.8 | -4.5 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 6,000 | 46% | 34% | 13% | 8% | -12.3 | +21.2 | -4.5 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 60% | 9% | 5% | -5.0 | +9.4 | -2.6 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 71% | 7% | 4% | -12.9 | -14.7 | +37.1 | -9.5 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 14% | 55% | 29% | 3% | -2.5 | -8.1 | +14.0 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 11% | 40% | 47% | 2% | -5.7 | +23.9 | -13.2 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 78% | 18% | 1% | -15.3 | -8.6 | -10.1 | +34.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 72% | 15% | 11% | +34.6 | +10.3 | -21.5 | -23.3 |