Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | +7.6 | -0.6 | -6.1 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 24% | 20% | 24% | -17.3 | +31.9 | -7.3 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 50% | 15% | 17% | -1.5 | -1.6 | +4.7 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 50% | 17% | 17% | -11.2 | -12.3 | +35.0 | -11.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 35% | 42% | 12% | -4.7 | -0.2 | -4.1 | +9.0 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 9% | 35% | 39% | 17% | +0.5 | +14.2 | -9.5 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 52% | 27% | 11% | +51.4 | -19.0 | -17.5 | -14.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 31% | 17% | 6% | -2.3 | +5.2 | -5.5 | +2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 6,000 | 44% | 34% | 14% | 8% | -11.7 | +21.1 | -4.5 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 59% | 10% | 5% | -4.7 | +10.6 | -3.9 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 73% | 6% | 4% | -10.9 | -16.5 | +36.7 | -9.2 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 55% | 28% | 2% | -4.7 | -8.2 | +16.2 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 10% | 39% | 48% | 2% | -4.9 | +24.9 | -14.1 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 79% | 18% | 1% | -16.0 | -8.9 | -8.5 | +33.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 73% | 17% | 9% | +35.4 | +10.1 | -23.5 | -22.0 |