Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

11/25 Game 1

Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +50.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance	Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance	Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance	Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance	Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change	Sho Shiratori Expected pt change	Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change	Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change
East 1	Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,500	25%	23%	25%	26%	-4.8	+7.8	-1.3	-1.7
East 2	Sho Shiratori ron 7,700 from Kenji Katsumata	23%	29%	24%	24%	-19.9	+20.2	+0.3	-0.6
East 2, 1 honba	Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori	11%	44%	22%	23%	-0.3	-11.0	+11.9	-0.5
East 3	Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori	12%	35%	30%	23%	-1.2	-32.0	+33.1	+0.1
East 3, 1 honba	Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki	9%	10%	61%	20%	-1.5	+22.7	-21.8	+0.6
East 4	Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000	9%	27%	41%	24%	+25.4	-4.1	-7.3	-14.1
South 1	Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata	23%	25%	36%	16%	-28.4	-1.6	+0.8	+29.1
South 2	Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000	8%	24%	34%	34%	-4.9	+20.9	-7.9	-8.0
South 2, 1 honba	Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900	5%	40%	27%	28%	-3.1	+14.7	-5.1	-6.4
South 2, 2 honba	Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Kanako Maruyama	3%	57%	20%	20%	-2.6	+2.7	+17.6	-17.7
South 3	Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Makoto Sawazaki	1%	62%	29%	8%	+2.6	+7.8	-9.2	-1.2
South 4	Exhaustive draw	1%	79%	13%	7%	+3.6	-4.8	-2.6	+3.8
South 4, 1 honba	Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000	2%	71%	16%	12%	-11.9	-29.3	+50.4	-9.2

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)