Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

11/25 Game 1

Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +49.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance	Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance	Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change	Shiratori Sho Expected pt change	Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change	Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change
East 1	Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,500	24%	26%	24%	26%	-4.6	+3.8	+2.5	-1.6
East 2	Shiratori Sho ron 7,700 from Katsumata Kenji	21%	29%	26%	24%	-19.7	+20.9	-1.8	+0.7
East 2, 1 honba	Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho	11%	45%	22%	23%	-1.8	-11.6	+10.9	+2.5
East 3	Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho	10%	35%	30%	25%	+1.8	-32.2	+31.1	-0.7
East 3, 1 honba	Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto	9%	11%	59%	21%	-1.1	+23.7	-22.1	-0.5
East 4	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000	10%	26%	39%	24%	+24.9	-6.4	-4.5	-14.1
South 1	Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	25%	23%	36%	16%	-29.5	0.0	+1.8	+27.8
South 2	Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000	7%	22%	37%	34%	-4.6	+22.0	-9.7	-7.6
South 2, 1 honba	Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900	5%	41%	26%	28%	-3.9	+13.8	-5.8	-4.1
South 2, 2 honba	Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Maruyama Kanako	2%	57%	20%	21%	-1.5	+1.5	+20.1	-20.0
South 3	Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Sawazaki Makoto	1%	59%	31%	9%	+2.6	+8.9	-10.2	-1.3
South 4	Draw	1%	79%	13%	7%	+3.4	-3.6	-2.1	+2.3
South 4, 1 honba	Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000	2%	73%	15%	10%	-11.9	-30.3	+49.7	-7.4

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)