Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/25 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Makoto Sawazaki | 25% | 23% | 25% | 28% | -3.0 | -9.6 | +14.3 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 22% | 18% | 36% | 25% | -0.7 | +28.3 | -0.8 | -26.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 36% | 34% | 11% | +0.9 | -3.5 | -3.3 | +6.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 33% | 31% | 13% | +1.1 | -2.8 | +6.1 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 31% | 35% | 12% | -9.8 | -14.6 | +33.9 | -9.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 12% | 14% | 69% | 6% | +23.0 | +3.5 | -24.5 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 30% | 21% | 43% | 6% | -17.3 | -17.7 | -13.2 | +48.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 14% | 33% | 33% | -6.7 | +26.2 | -5.2 | -14.3 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 30% | 31% | 22% | -18.3 | -7.8 | +32.0 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 4% | 18% | 64% | 14% | -2.0 | -6.3 | +4.7 | +3.6 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 3% | 10% | 72% | 15% | +42.0 | -39.6 | +0.7 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 0% | 75% | 11% | -2.5 | -2.8 | +14.7 | -9.3 |