Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/25 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Sawazaki Makoto | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +0.8 | -15.8 | +14.4 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 24% | 16% | 34% | 26% | -1.6 | +31.6 | -1.1 | -29.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 36% | 32% | 10% | -0.3 | -4.0 | -1.8 | +6.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 21% | 33% | 32% | 14% | +2.8 | -2.8 | +4.7 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 31% | 34% | 12% | -12.7 | -13.8 | +36.2 | -9.8 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 10% | 15% | 70% | 6% | +26.0 | +2.1 | -26.0 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 30% | 20% | 43% | 7% | -19.0 | -16.9 | -13.4 | +49.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 14% | 33% | 33% | -4.9 | +25.8 | -5.1 | -15.8 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 30% | 29% | 22% | -19.6 | -6.2 | +31.7 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 4% | 20% | 62% | 14% | -2.2 | -8.1 | +6.7 | +3.6 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 3% | 9% | 74% | 14% | +43.6 | -38.6 | -0.7 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 16% | 0% | 75% | 9% | -3.7 | -3.2 | +14.6 | -7.7 |