Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/26 Game 1
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+95.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yudai Maehara tsumo 18,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +55.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +0.9 | -0.7 | +5.4 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 29% | 21% | -7.1 | -12.6 | +23.2 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 16% | 48% | 19% | +9.9 | -1.7 | -6.6 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 14% | 43% | 18% | -3.0 | -1.3 | -1.7 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 24% | 14% | 41% | 21% | -1.0 | +6.3 | +1.9 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 18,000 | 23% | 18% | 43% | 16% | +55.7 | -17.0 | -23.1 | -15.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 18,000 | 78% | 5% | 12% | 5% | +27.1 | -9.9 | -7.8 | -9.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | +3.1 | 0.0 | -2.8 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +13.4 | -4.6 | -3.9 | -4.9 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.8 | -5.3 | +13.7 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Yudai Maehara | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -3.0 | +5.3 | -0.3 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,200 | 98% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 | -6.9 | -0.6 | +7.5 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.1 | -9.2 | +7.4 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 1,100 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +2.0 | -1.9 | -1.9 | +1.8 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +3.1 | -4.9 | +2.1 | -0.3 |