Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/28 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+49.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +32.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -6.1 | +0.2 | +6.2 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 26% | 27% | 25% | -4.5 | +2.5 | +4.6 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 27% | 31% | 25% | -9.3 | +32.7 | -12.0 | -11.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,200 from Shiratori Sho | 11% | 53% | 20% | 16% | -0.9 | -6.4 | +13.2 | -5.9 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 11% | 47% | 30% | 12% | -9.7 | -0.8 | +9.0 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 7% | 45% | 35% | 13% | +7.6 | +1.4 | -7.9 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 11% | 48% | 29% | 12% | -4.0 | -1.3 | -0.1 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 9,600 | 9% | 48% | 28% | 14% | -7.9 | -11.1 | -10.2 | +29.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 7% | 35% | 23% | 35% | -4.1 | +0.2 | +42.5 | -38.5 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 3% | 28% | 62% | 7% | -1.3 | -1.5 | +10.8 | -8.0 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 1% | 19% | 77% | 3% | -5.8 | +2.2 | -14.1 | +17.8 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 1% | 28% | 61% | 10% | -3.0 | +13.4 | -32.9 | +22.6 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 57% | 19% | 24% | +0.9 | -4.5 | -18.1 | +21.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 45% | 8% | 48% | +6.7 | +22.7 | -6.7 | -22.6 |