Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+71.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -3.4 | +32.1 | +0.4 | -29.1 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,800 from Masato Hagiwara | 19% | 49% | 23% | 9% | +0.7 | +14.4 | -2.7 | -12.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata | 17% | 61% | 17% | 5% | +16.4 | -17.7 | +3.1 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,000 | 30% | 44% | 21% | 5% | +1.1 | +7.0 | -8.2 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 51% | 13% | 5% | -4.6 | +0.5 | -2.2 | +6.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 53% | 14% | 7% | -6.0 | +0.6 | +2.7 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 6,400 | 23% | 54% | 15% | 8% | -4.6 | +21.3 | -5.3 | -11.4 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 12% | 79% | 8% | 2% | -16.8 | +2.1 | +16.5 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 3% | 84% | 11% | 2% | +1.2 | +17.8 | -1.2 | -17.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 95% | 5% | 0% | -4.6 | -6.0 | -1.4 | +12.0 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 95% | 4% | 0% | +5.4 | +2.2 | -3.0 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -4.0 | -1.6 | +9.1 | -3.5 |