Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+71.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +31.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +1.2 | +31.7 | -1.7 | -31.2 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Hagiwara Masato | 21% | 49% | 21% | 9% | -3.2 | +13.5 | -0.9 | -9.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 16% | 61% | 18% | 5% | +17.8 | -17.3 | +0.1 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 30% | 44% | 20% | 6% | -1.1 | +6.8 | -3.6 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 28% | 52% | 15% | 5% | -1.5 | -1.3 | -2.1 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 51% | 14% | 7% | -6.6 | +4.2 | -1.2 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 6,400 | 23% | 56% | 14% | 8% | -5.1 | +21.2 | -4.2 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 81% | 7% | 1% | -18.3 | +0.3 | +18.1 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 84% | 12% | 1% | +2.3 | +17.8 | -2.2 | -18.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 95% | 4% | 0% | -4.3 | -6.0 | -2.4 | +12.7 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 95% | 4% | 1% | +5.4 | +2.2 | -1.3 | -6.3 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -4.2 | -1.4 | +8.4 | -2.8 |