Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/29 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +9.0 | -2.2 | -7.1 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 24% | 22% | 23% | +1.7 | +4.3 | -2.4 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 31% | 27% | 19% | 23% | +12.1 | -10.6 | -0.5 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 41% | 20% | 18% | 21% | +5.7 | +2.1 | -4.1 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin | 46% | 21% | 15% | 18% | -8.8 | -1.5 | -2.4 | +12.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 38% | 19% | 15% | 28% | -6.0 | +4.8 | -0.7 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 33% | 23% | 15% | 29% | +0.3 | -12.1 | -2.5 | +14.2 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 33% | 15% | 13% | 39% | -5.1 | +38.4 | -30.1 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 25% | 40% | 2% | 32% | -5.4 | +30.4 | -17.2 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 72% | 0% | 16% | -10.2 | +16.6 | -1.8 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 91% | 0% | 7% | -3.7 | -6.7 | +13.4 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 91% | 1% | 7% | -1.5 | +1.8 | +2.0 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 93% | 1% | 6% | -1.3 | -1.9 | +3.9 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 91% | 1% | 7% | -5.7 | -14.6 | -6.4 | +26.7 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 76% | 0% | 24% | +7.8 | +9.9 | -7.8 | -9.8 |