Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

11/29 Game 1

Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +39.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance	Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance	Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance	Jun Murakami 1st-place chance	Koshin Asakura Expected pt change	Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change	Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change	Jun Murakami Expected pt change
East 1	Koshin Asakura ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa	24%	27%	25%	25%	+8.5	-0.5	-8.3	+0.3
East 1, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	30%	24%	19%	26%	+4.3	+2.7	-3.0	-3.9
East 1, 2 honba	Koshin Asakura ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki	33%	26%	18%	23%	+11.9	-10.2	-0.3	-1.4
East 1, 3 honba	Exhaustive draw	43%	20%	16%	22%	+1.7	+1.3	-2.3	-0.7
East 1, 4 honba	Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura	44%	20%	16%	20%	-8.9	-2.1	+0.8	+10.2
East 2	Exhaustive draw	37%	18%	17%	29%	-2.6	+5.0	-3.9	+1.5
East 2, 1 honba	Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki	34%	22%	15%	29%	+1.3	-12.8	-0.5	+12.1
East 3	Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	34%	13%	15%	38%	-6.3	+39.6	-31.6	-1.7
East 4	Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	25%	39%	4%	32%	-3.6	+30.7	-17.8	-9.3
South 1	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000	14%	70%	0%	15%	-12.5	+17.3	-1.9	-2.9
South 2	Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000	2%	91%	0%	7%	-4.5	-6.3	+14.4	-3.6
South 3	Exhaustive draw	1%	91%	1%	7%	-1.3	+1.0	+1.5	-1.2
South 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	2%	92%	1%	6%	-1.3	-1.2	+3.1	-0.6
South 3, 2 honba	Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki	1%	91%	1%	7%	-4.8	-14.3	-6.0	+25.1
South 4	Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	1%	77%	0%	22%	+7.0	+9.7	-7.7	-9.0

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)