Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
11/29 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+76.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 6,400 from Koshin Asakura | 24% | 26% | 27% | 24% | -2.0 | +18.5 | -17.4 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 40% | 16% | 23% | -1.7 | +5.8 | -2.4 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 44% | 14% | 23% | +8.6 | -3.0 | -2.9 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 42% | 13% | 21% | -2.5 | +2.1 | +3.0 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 43% | 14% | 20% | -9.8 | +33.6 | -15.5 | -8.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 9% | 78% | 4% | 10% | -2.8 | +5.8 | -1.0 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 7% | 86% | 3% | 5% | 0.0 | +12.6 | -15.3 | +2.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 97% | 1% | 2% | -1.7 | +1.2 | +3.3 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 97% | 1% | 2% | +3.5 | +1.3 | +1.7 | -6.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 97% | 1% | 1% | -1.5 | +3.8 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -2.9 | -13.2 | +24.1 | -7.9 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 1% | 95% | 3% | 2% | +5.4 | +7.1 | +0.4 | -12.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +7.0 | +0.5 | +0.1 | -7.5 |