Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/2 Game 1
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+72.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +32.0 | -11.6 | -10.8 | -9.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 50% | 16% | 17% | 18% | -8.6 | +5.0 | +0.4 | +3.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 6,000 | 42% | 20% | 18% | 19% | -8.2 | +19.9 | -6.0 | -5.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 35% | 15% | 17% | +35.9 | -21.4 | -5.9 | -8.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 70% | 13% | 9% | 9% | -8.1 | +1.6 | +2.8 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 1,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 61% | 15% | 11% | 13% | +9.4 | -3.4 | -5.2 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 1,500 | 73% | 11% | 6% | 10% | -0.1 | -1.9 | -2.1 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 11% | 6% | 12% | -1.3 | +10.4 | -1.7 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 72% | 15% | 6% | 7% | -8.9 | +32.9 | +2.4 | -26.4 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 56% | 38% | 4% | 2% | +13.7 | -9.8 | -1.6 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 77% | 20% | 2% | 1% | +18.9 | -16.4 | -1.6 | -0.9 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.7 | +3.7 | +2.9 | -4.9 |