Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/2 Game 1
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+72.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +33.4 | -11.8 | -7.8 | -13.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 17% | 18% | 16% | -8.1 | +4.1 | -1.6 | +5.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 6,000 | 44% | 20% | 17% | 19% | -7.3 | +18.7 | -5.2 | -6.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 32% | 15% | 17% | +33.5 | -18.2 | -7.5 | -7.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 13% | 9% | 10% | -5.4 | -2.0 | +4.2 | +3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 1,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 62% | 14% | 12% | 13% | +7.3 | 0.0 | -4.6 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 1,500 | 72% | 12% | 7% | 9% | -0.4 | -3.2 | -1.8 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 10% | 7% | 11% | -0.2 | +12.1 | -2.2 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 73% | 15% | 6% | 6% | -9.3 | +32.5 | +1.9 | -25.1 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 55% | 40% | 4% | 1% | +14.3 | -11.8 | -1.3 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 77% | 19% | 3% | 1% | +18.2 | -15.7 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -1.5 | +4.2 | +2.3 | -5.0 |