Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/2 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +18.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 23% | -7.1 | +6.5 | -1.3 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 31% | 23% | 26% | -8.5 | +30.6 | -9.8 | -12.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 57% | 16% | 15% | -3.3 | -2.7 | -0.1 | +6.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 11% | 54% | 16% | 19% | -8.3 | -2.3 | +10.4 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 9% | 52% | 20% | 18% | -1.2 | +0.1 | +12.1 | -10.9 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 8% | 51% | 28% | 14% | -2.3 | -18.6 | -1.4 | +22.3 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 9% | 34% | 29% | 28% | +20.0 | +3.4 | +3.9 | -27.3 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 17% | 38% | 34% | 11% | -6.6 | +0.7 | +8.1 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 12% | 36% | 41% | 11% | -2.6 | +2.7 | +4.0 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 10% | 39% | 43% | 8% | -25.7 | -1.6 | +1.4 | +25.9 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 36% | 44% | 19% | -1.1 | -4.8 | +18.9 | -13.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 22% | 69% | 9% | -3.3 | +3.1 | -2.1 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 22% | 68% | 10% | -2.4 | -8.0 | +17.3 | -6.9 |