Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

12/2 Game 2

Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +19.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance	Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance	Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance	Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance	Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change	Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change	Koshin Asakura Expected pt change	Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change
East 1	Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100	25%	23%	24%	27%	-3.9	+6.6	-0.3	-2.4
East 2	Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000	22%	30%	24%	24%	-12.1	+30.1	-9.4	-8.6
East 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	13%	54%	18%	16%	-0.2	-0.6	-3.6	+4.4
East 3, 2 honba	Koshin Asakura ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa	12%	54%	15%	19%	-9.1	-1.5	+10.4	+0.2
East 3, 3 honba	Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki	9%	53%	19%	20%	-0.6	+0.3	+12.6	-12.2
East 3, 4 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori	9%	52%	27%	12%	-3.9	-18.8	+0.2	+22.4
East 4	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki	9%	34%	29%	28%	+20.0	+3.2	+3.3	-26.4
South 1	Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa	16%	38%	33%	12%	-5.5	+2.6	+7.7	-4.8
South 2	Exhaustive draw	11%	39%	39%	11%	-4.5	-1.0	+7.2	-1.7
South 2, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa	8%	36%	47%	8%	-24.7	+0.5	-1.2	+25.5
South 3	Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki	2%	37%	44%	17%	-0.3	-5.9	+19.5	-13.2
South 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	1%	21%	70%	8%	-3.8	+3.5	-2.9	+3.2
South 4, 2 honba	Koshin Asakura ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori	0%	22%	67%	10%	-2.3	-8.2	+18.1	-7.5

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)