Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/3 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+88.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +20.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +2.9 | +2.4 | +2.0 | -7.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 27% | 26% | 21% | +19.4 | -15.4 | -3.6 | -0.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 42% | 16% | 22% | 19% | +16.5 | -15.7 | +0.4 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 5,200 | 56% | 9% | 20% | 16% | -8.4 | -4.8 | +17.2 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 47% | 7% | 32% | 15% | 0.0 | +15.2 | -1.3 | -13.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 13% | 31% | 9% | +0.7 | -5.3 | +6.8 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 8% | 36% | 8% | +20.7 | -2.6 | -12.4 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 70% | 5% | 19% | 5% | +0.3 | +8.7 | -1.9 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Masato Hagiwara | 74% | 7% | 17% | 3% | +14.8 | +1.9 | -17.7 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 89% | 4% | 5% | 2% | -1.4 | +4.3 | -0.9 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 4% | 4% | 2% | +1.1 | +4.2 | +0.8 | -6.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 5% | 4% | 1% | +4.4 | -3.1 | -3.3 | +2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 96% | 1% | 3% | 1% | -2.9 | +0.4 | +2.0 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 95% | 1% | 4% | 1% | +9.4 | +6.5 | -12.9 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +10.2 | +3.0 | -2.5 | -10.7 |