Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/3 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+88.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +2.1 | +3.8 | -0.3 | -5.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 27% | 27% | 24% | 22% | +17.6 | -15.2 | 0.0 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 40% | 17% | 24% | 19% | +19.4 | -16.7 | -1.6 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 57% | 9% | 19% | 15% | -10.5 | -4.3 | +18.3 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 46% | 8% | 32% | 15% | +2.5 | +16.9 | -2.5 | -16.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 14% | 30% | 8% | -3.2 | -5.2 | +8.3 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 10% | 37% | 9% | +24.1 | -6.6 | -12.1 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 4% | 20% | 5% | -0.4 | +9.3 | -1.9 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Hagiwara Masato | 74% | 7% | 17% | 3% | +14.5 | +2.0 | -17.5 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 88% | 4% | 6% | 2% | -1.1 | +6.0 | -2.7 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 90% | 4% | 5% | 1% | +1.5 | +2.6 | +1.4 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 90% | 5% | 4% | 1% | +4.6 | -3.0 | -2.9 | +1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 96% | 0% | 3% | 1% | -4.3 | 0.0 | +2.3 | +2.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 94% | 1% | 4% | 1% | +10.1 | +7.3 | -13.2 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +10.2 | +3.4 | -3.0 | -10.6 |